Fructus citrus Aurantii, yomwe yakhala yaulesi, yakwera ndi RMB15 m'masiku khumi, zomwe ndi zosayembekezereka!

Msika wa Citrus aurantium wakhala waulesi m'zaka ziwiri zapitazi, ndipo mitengo yatsika kwambiri m'zaka khumi zapitazi isanayambe kupanga zatsopano mu 2024. Kupanga kwatsopano kutayamba kumapeto kwa mwezi wa May, pamene nkhani za kuchepa kwa kupanga zikufalikira, msika idakwera mwachangu, ndikuwonjezeka kopitilira 60% m'masiku ochepa chabe.Nthawi zambiri amalonda amazungulira, ndipo malonda sakugwira ntchito.Mawonekedwe a msika amakhudzidwa ndi amalonda ndi mphamvu zogulira ndalama.

Kachitidwe ka msika wazipatso za citrus Aurantiim'zaka ziwiri zapitazi sichinakhale ndi chiyembekezo, ndipo mtengo watsika pang'onopang'ono.Ogulitsa omwe amagulitsa katundu amazungulira mwachangu amatha kupeza kusiyana kwamitengo yapakati, ndipo katundu wamkulu amasungidwa kwa nthawi yayitali.Pomaliza, Palibe phindu, ndipo pali zotayika zambiri.
Pakati pa mwezi wa May, malo akuluakulu opanga Hunan adalowa mu nyengo yatsopano yopangira.Panthawiyo, msika wa citrus aurantium udalibe.Pofika kumapeto kwa 24, mtengo wa 1.0-2.0 laimu citrus aurantium udakali pakati pa 31-32RMB, koma Kumapeto kwa May ndi kumayambiriro kwa June, pamene katundu wa katundu anawonjezeka, msika unayamba kukwera kwambiri.Pa Juni 5, mawu ochokera komwe adachokera adafika 47RMB, yomwe idakwera ndi RMB15 yuan m'masiku khumi okha.Zinali zosayembekezereka.Chifukwa chiyani?zipatso za citrus Aurantiiopangidwa chaka chino?Kodi pali kusiyana kwakukulu koteroko pakati pa mikhalidwe yamsika isanayambe kapena itatha chaka chatsopano?

1.M'zaka zaposachedwa, mitengo yosonkhanitsa zinthu yatsika kwambiri pazaka khumi zapitazi.

Citrus aurantium ili ndi mtengo wokwera wa RMB90 yuan m'mbiri (mu 2016), ndipo inali pafupifupi RMB80 yuan isanapangidwe chatsopano mu 2017-2018.Pambuyo pakupanga kwatsopano mu 2018, msika udatsika, mpaka RMB35 yuan mu 2020, ndikufikiranso RMB55 yuan mu 2021 chifukwa chakuchepetsa kupanga.Zakhalapo mpaka 2022, zomwe zidatuluka mu 2022-2023 zinali zachilendo, zowerengera zidasonkhanitsidwa, ndipo msika udatsika pang'onopang'ono.Mpaka kupanga kwatsopano mu 2024, mtengo m'malo opangira zidatsika pansi pa RMB30 yuan, kufika potsika kwambiri m'zaka khumi zapitazi.

2. Posachedwapa, chiwerengero cha amalonda akugula katundu kuchokera kumalo atsopano opangira zinthu chawonjezeka mofulumira, ndipo msika wakwera mofulumira.

Asanakhazikitse zinthu zatsopano mu Meyi chaka chino, Citrus aurantium idalepherabe kusintha msika wake waulesi, ndipo msika udapitilira kufooka.Amalonda ambiri amakhulupirira kuti kukakamiza kwa msika kudzakulirakulira chifukwa Citrus aurantium ili ndi kuchuluka kokwanira kwazinthu zomwe zilipo ndipo zatsopano zipezeka posachedwa.Zimakhala zovuta kuwona zotsatira zabwino pamene msika uli waukulu, koma zomwe sizimayembekezereka ndikuti kumapeto kwa May, pamene kupanga kwatsopano kunkapitirira, chiwerengero cha amalonda ogula katundu kuchokera pachiyambi chinawonjezeka mwadzidzidzi, ndipo kuperekedwa kwa katundu nthawi yomweyo kunakhala. wosalala.Pamene kuchuluka kwa malonda kukupitirira kuwonjezeka, msika unayambitsa njira yabwino.Kukwera mosalekeza, posachedwapa mtengo wofunsidwa wa mipira ya laimu ya citrus aurantium ya 1.0-2.0 yopangidwa ku Hunan Yuanjiang yafika pa RMB 51-53, ndipo mtengo wa theka ndi theka uli pafupi ndi RMB50 yuan.Poyerekeza ndi mwezi watha, mtengowo wakula ndi zoposa 60RMB m'masiku khumi ndi awiri okha, omwe angafotokozedwe kuti akuwonjezeka kwambiri.

3.N'chifukwa chiyani pali kusiyana kwakukulu muzochitika zamsika zisanayambe komanso pambuyo pa kukhazikitsidwa kwatsopano kwa chaka chino?

Chifukwa chiyani?zipatso za citrus Aurantiimtendere wa msika usanakhazikitsidwe?Kutchuka kwa Citrus aurantium kwakhala kochepera zaka ziwiri zapitazi.Kuphatikiza apo, mitengo yazipatso yomwe idabzalidwa panthawi yokwera mtengo m'zaka zapitazi yakhala nthawi yobala zipatso m'zaka zaposachedwa.Ndi normalization ya nyengo, linanena bungwe anapitiriza kukhala wokhazikika m'zaka zaposachedwapa.Kuphatikiza apo, kugulitsa pamsika wa Citrus aurantium kwakhala kocheperako zaka zaposachedwa.Kuphatikizidwa ndi chikoka cha mitundu yosiyanasiyana ya citrus aurantium m'malo osiyanasiyana komanso kuchuluka kwa zinthu, mtengo wamsika wa citrus aurantium wakhala ukutsika chaka ndi chaka, zomwe zapangitsanso kutsika kwa chidaliro chamalonda cha amalonda poyambira.Kuphatikiza apo, ngakhale padzakhala chipale chofewa chozizira kwambiri m'malo opangira zinthu zazikulu za Hunan ndi Jiangxi mu 2023, komanso mvula yamphamvu chaka chino, malinga ndi kuwonera kwa madera opangirako, nthawi yamaluwa chaka chino ndiyabwinobwino, ndipo aliyense amakhulupirira kuti kumeneko. sikudzakhala kusintha kwakukulu muzotulutsa chaka chino, kotero amalonda oyambirira akumvetsera Sizinayambe zakhala zapamwamba.Ngakhale mtengowo utakhala wotsika pamalo oyambira, sunakope chidwi chapadera ndi aliyense.

Nanga ndichifukwa chiyani kusuntha kwazinthu kudakwera komanso msika ukukwera mwachangu kupanga kwatsopano kutayamba?Ngakhale nthawi yamaluwa ya citrus aurantium m'madera obala kwambiri a Hunan ndi Jiangxi chaka chino ikuwoneka ngati yachilendo, m'nthawi yokhazikitsa zipatso, makamaka nthawi yokolola itatha, zikuwonekeratu kuti kuchuluka kwa zipatso sikuli bwino monga momwe amayembekezera. .Panthawiyi, malo opangirako achepetsa kupanga.Nkhani zinayamba kufalikira, ndipo malo ena okhala ndi zochepetsera zopanga zambiri akuti achepetsa pafupifupi 40%!Pamene zinthu zinayamba kumveka bwino, kayendetsedwe ka katundu kumalo opangira zinthu kunayamba kufulumira mwakachetechete pambuyo poyambira kupanga kwatsopano pakati pa mwezi wa May.Komabe, panthawiyi, zambiri zamalondazo zinali katundu wakale, ndipo amalonda okhala ndi katundu wochuluka anali otanganidwa kwambiri kugulitsa, kugulitsa katundu wakale ndi kukonzekera kulandira katundu watsopano.Choncho, Panthawiyi, panalibe kusintha koonekeratu pamsika.Pofika kumapeto kwa mwezi wa May, pamene katundu watsopano anapangidwa pang'onopang'ono m'magulu, madera opangira zinthu adalandira kugula kwakukulu kuchokera kwa amalonda a Anguo, ndipo kuchuluka kwa malonda a katundu kunapitirira kuwonjezeka.Pamene kuperekedwa kwa katundu watsopano kudaposa kufunika, malo opangira Mitengo ya msika m'chigawochi ikukwera tsiku ndi tsiku.Posachedwapa, pakhala chodabwitsa m'malo opangira zinthu kuti omwe ali ndi katunduyo safuna kugulitsa, pomwe omwe akufuna katunduyo amakhala ndi chikhumbo chachikulu chogula.Chifukwa cha malonda otentha, mabanja opangira zinthu m'madera opangira zinthu akuthamangira kusonkhanitsa katundu watsopano, ndipo mtengo wa zipatso wakweranso A mkulu wa RMB12yuan / kilogalamu.

Kuphatikiza pa madera akuluakulu opanga zinthu za Hunan ndi Jiangxi, madera opangira zinthu monga Sichuan, Chongqing, ndi Yunnan adanenanso za kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kupanga chaka chino, ndipo kuchuluka kwa katundu omwe ogula amalandila m'malo ambiri adatsika kwambiri poyerekeza ndi zaka zam'mbuyomu.

Nthawi zambiri, mtengo wa Citrus aurantium uli pamtengo wotsika kwambiri pazaka khumi zapitazi.Msika waku China wamankhwala azitsamba wakhala ukukulirakulira zaka ziwiri zapitazi.Tsopano yakumananso ndi kuchepa kwa kupanga.Chidwi cha amalonda chawonjezeka panthawi yatsopano yopanga.Ndalama zalowererapo kuti apange maudindo, zomwe zalimbikitsa msika.Kuchuluka komanso kuchuluka kwa nthawi yayitali.

4. Kusanthula kawonedwe ka msika
Amalonda amanena kuti zomwe zilipo panopa zazipatso za citrus Aurantiiakadali aakulu, koma malo opangira mipira yaying'ono yozungulira yatha kale.Posachedwapa, amalonda a Anguo adagula mwachangu mipira yaying'ono yozungulira m'malo opangira Hunan, chomwe ndi chifukwa chachikulu chakukwera kwa msika.Komabe, ngakhale Kuwonjezeka kwaposachedwa kwakhala kwakukulu kwambiri, ndipo amalonda ambiri m'madera opanga sakugulitsabe katundu.Iwo makamaka chinkhoswe.Kumbali imodzi, amalonda akuda nkhawa ndi kuchepa kwa msika m'zaka ziwiri zapitazi.Kumbali ina, chiwopsezo cha chiwonjezeko chaposachedwa chawonjezeka, ndipo amalonda nawonso amasamala..Pankhani ya msika, popeza citrus aurantium si mitundu yambiri, ngakhale kuti mitengo ya msika m'madera opangira zinthu yawonjezeka kwambiri posachedwapa, malonda a msika sakugwira ntchito kwambiri, ndipo kutchuka kumakhala kochepa kwakanthawi kusiyana ndi komwe kumapangidwira.Zimakhazikika kwambiri pakufunidwa kwenikweni.

Pamawonekedwe amsika, kuperekedwa kwa katundu sikuyenera kukhala chinthu chachikulu chomwe chimakhudza kusintha kwa citrus aurantium.Mphamvu zogulira za amalonda ndi ndalama zidzatsimikizirabe zomwe zikuchitika.